Major emmitters set carbon goals post Copenhagen

The Copenhagen Accord that was negotiated on the last few days of the Copenhagen Summit in December ’09, set a 31 January deadline for countries to commit to national targets for curbs in emissions until 2020.

The UN recently announced that fifty five countries, responsible for almost 80% of world greenhouse gas emissions have pledged various goals to combat climate change.

Most countries, including China and the US, mostly reiterated commitments unveiled prior to the COP 15 in Denmark. These include:

• President Obama’s plans for a 17% cut in US emissions from 2005 levels or 4% cut from 1990 levels.
• The European Union’s goal of a 20% cut from 1990 levels or 30% if other nations step up.
• China’s “endeavour” to cut carbon intensity (carbon produced per unit of economic output) by 40%-45% from 2005 levels
• South Africa’s commitment to a 34% reduction below business as usual

Jennifer Morgan of the World Resources Institute commented: “Following a month of uncertainty, it is now clear that the Copenhagen Accord will support the world in moving forward to meaningful global action on climate change.”

According to Yvo de Boer, head of the UNFCCC, “greater ambition is required to meet the scale of the challenge. But I see these pledges as clear signals of willingness to move negotiations towards a successful conclusion.”

South Africa announced its pledge of  34% emission reduction below business as usual by 2020 and 42% by 2025 in early December.  This would enable South Africa’s emissions to peak between 2020 and 2025, stabilize for 10 years and then decline in absolute terms. The business as usual ‘baseline’ is as per the government’s Long Term Mitigation Scenarios.

Original article: Mail & Guardian. 3 February 2009. Read here…